The forecast
Ollama will not publish a new stable software release by 11-22-2026.
GitHub lists Ollama v0.40.15 as the most recent stable release, with its publication timestamp recorded at 22:52:31 on 11‑03‑2026. Current forecasting models that track release cadence use the time elapsed since the last release to predict the likelihood of an upcoming version. When the latest release is more than a week old, the models generally anticipate a new update within a short window, typically a couple of weeks. However, for the period ending 11‑22‑2026, the models indicate that no new stable version is expected to be published. This forecast reflects the current data snapshot and the established release pattern, but it remains subject to change if the development schedule shifts or if new releases are announced earlier than predicted. Users relying on the latest features should monitor official announcements to stay informed about any updates that may occur after the forecasted date.
How this will be checked
The release-cadence rule predicts another stable release within 14 days when the latest release is at least a week old. GitHub's public release timestamps determine the outcome. This measures a software release, not the quality of an AI breakthrough.