Bets experiment

2026 NFL Week 9 Forecasts: Moneylines, Spreads and $10 Picks

By Daire Sullivan · 11-04-2026 00:01:04 EST

AI picks

14 NFL Week 9 games with one hypothetical $10 pick each, frozen before kickoff.

mixed

Pick records

Hypothetical $10 record: 13 wins · 1 losses · 0 pushes · 0 pending. Realized net +$45.76; ROI 32.7% on $140 in settled non-push stakes. No actual wagers are recorded.

JAX at BAL

Daire Sullivan picksJacksonville Jaguars moneyline (-520)

Frozen selection: Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline (-520) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-05-2026 20:15:00 EST to 11-06-2026 02:15:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 0.0000

Final score: JAX 33, BAL 10. Frozen pick: Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline (-520).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

CIN at ATL

Daire Sullivan picksCincinnati Bengals moneyline (-162)

Frozen selection: Cincinnati Bengals moneyline (-162) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 09:30:00 EST to 11-08-2026 15:30:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 0.0000

Final score: CIN 34, ATL 17. Frozen pick: Cincinnati Bengals moneyline (-162).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

DAL at IND

Daire Sullivan picksDallas Cowboys moneyline (-278)

Frozen selection: Dallas Cowboys moneyline (-278) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 13:00:00 EST to 11-08-2026 19:00:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 0.0000

Final score: DAL 27, IND 23. Frozen pick: Dallas Cowboys moneyline (-278).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

NYJ at KC

Daire Sullivan picksKansas City Chiefs moneyline (-500)

Frozen selection: Kansas City Chiefs moneyline (-500) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 13:00:00 EST to 11-08-2026 19:00:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 1.0000

Final score: NYJ 12, KC 35. Frozen pick: Kansas City Chiefs moneyline (-500).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

DET at MIA

Daire Sullivan picksDetroit Lions moneyline (-355)

Frozen selection: Detroit Lions moneyline (-355) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 13:00:00 EST to 11-08-2026 19:00:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 0.0000

Final score: DET 19, MIA 9. Frozen pick: Detroit Lions moneyline (-355).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

CLE at NO

Daire Sullivan picksNew Orleans Saints moneyline (-118)

Frozen selection: New Orleans Saints moneyline (-118) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 13:00:00 EST to 11-08-2026 19:00:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 1.0000

Final score: CLE 22, NO 23. Frozen pick: New Orleans Saints moneyline (-118).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

NYG at PHI

Daire Sullivan picksNew York Giants spread -3.5 (-105)

Frozen selection: New York Giants spread -3.5 (-105) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 13:00:00 EST to 11-08-2026 19:00:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value -8.0000

Final score: NYG 19, PHI 11. Frozen pick: New York Giants spread -3.5 (-105).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

LAR at WSH

Daire Sullivan picksLos Angeles Rams moneyline (-238)

Frozen selection: Los Angeles Rams moneyline (-238) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 13:00:00 EST to 11-08-2026 19:00:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 0.0000

Final score: LAR 20, WSH 13. Frozen pick: Los Angeles Rams moneyline (-238).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

HOU at LAC

Daire Sullivan picksHouston Texans moneyline (-218)

Frozen selection: Houston Texans moneyline (-218) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 16:05:00 EST to 11-08-2026 22:05:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 0.0000

Final score: HOU 44, LAC 22. Frozen pick: Houston Texans moneyline (-218).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

GB at NE

Daire Sullivan picksNew England Patriots moneyline (-170)

Frozen selection: New England Patriots moneyline (-170) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 16:25:00 EST to 11-08-2026 22:25:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Missed · observed value 0.0000

Final score: GB 45, NE 27. Frozen pick: New England Patriots moneyline (-170).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

LV at SF

Daire Sullivan picksSan Francisco 49ers moneyline (-535)

Frozen selection: San Francisco 49ers moneyline (-535) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 16:25:00 EST to 11-08-2026 22:25:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 1.0000

Final score: LV 17, SF 38. Frozen pick: San Francisco 49ers moneyline (-535).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

ARI at SEA

Daire Sullivan picksSeattle Seahawks moneyline (-700)

Frozen selection: Seattle Seahawks moneyline (-700) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 16:25:00 EST to 11-08-2026 22:25:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 1.0000

Final score: ARI 3, SEA 17. Frozen pick: Seattle Seahawks moneyline (-700).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

TB at CHI

Daire Sullivan picksChicago Bears moneyline (-290)

Frozen selection: Chicago Bears moneyline (-290) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-08-2026 20:20:00 EST to 11-09-2026 02:20:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 1.0000

Final score: TB 24, CHI 27. Frozen pick: Chicago Bears moneyline (-290).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

BUF at MIN

Daire Sullivan picksBuffalo Bills moneyline (-175)

Frozen selection: Buffalo Bills moneyline (-175) · $10 hypothetical stake · recorded 11-04-2026 00:01:01 EST.

Outcome window: 11-09-2026 20:15:00 EST to 11-10-2026 02:15:00 EST.

View the source data used for this prediction

Result: Accurate · observed value 0.0000

Final score: BUF 23, MIN 6. Frozen pick: Buffalo Bills moneyline (-175).

Verify the observed result

Head to head vs Daire Sullivan

Picks are closed.

NFL Week 9 picks

This is a research and entertainment experiment, not betting advice or a claim of profitable picks. These are hypothetical stakes; no actual bets were placed. The experimental win-likelihood estimate combines the no-vig moneyline probability with a small adjustment for each team's published record. It has not been calibrated or shown to beat the market. A likely winner is not necessarily a good value at its quoted price. All lines and selections below are frozen at publication; later changes require separate timestamped entries.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens

Kickoff: 11-05-2026 20:15 EST. Records: JAX 5-2; BAL 4-4.

Expected outright winner: Jacksonville Jaguars. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: BAL 17.9%; JAX 82.1%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: JAX -520; BAL +390. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: JAX -10 (-108), $9.26 profit; $19.26 total return; BAL +10 (-112), $8.93 profit; $18.93 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Jacksonville Jaguars moneyline (-520). Its quoted odds imply a 83.9% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Odds snapshot: 11-04-2026 00:01 EST, DraftKings, via ESPN game data. Lines may change or be inaccurate; this is not an offer or a recommendation. The final score will decide the result without revising this pick.

Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 09:30 EST. Records: CIN 5-2; ATL 3-5.

Expected outright winner: Cincinnati Bengals. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: ATL 37.9%; CIN 62.1%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: CIN -162; ATL +136. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: CIN -3 (-112), $8.93 profit; $18.93 total return; ATL +3 (-108), $9.26 profit; $19.26 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Cincinnati Bengals moneyline (-162). Its quoted odds imply a 61.8% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 13:00 EST. Records: DAL 3-5; IND 2-6.

Expected outright winner: Dallas Cowboys. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: IND 28.5%; DAL 71.5%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: DAL -278; IND +225. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: DAL -6 (-110), $9.09 profit; $19.09 total return; IND +6 (-110), $9.09 profit; $19.09 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Dallas Cowboys moneyline (-278). Its quoted odds imply a 73.5% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 13:00 EST. Records: NYJ 2-6; KC 5-2.

Expected outright winner: Kansas City Chiefs. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: KC 83.7%; NYJ 16.3%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: NYJ +380; KC -500. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: NYJ +9.5 (-105), $9.52 profit; $19.52 total return; KC -9.5 (-115), $8.70 profit; $18.70 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Kansas City Chiefs moneyline (-500). Its quoted odds imply a 83.3% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 13:00 EST. Records: DET 5-2; MIA 1-6.

Expected outright winner: Detroit Lions. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: MIA 20.7%; DET 79.3%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: DET -355; MIA +280. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: DET -7 (-110), $9.09 profit; $19.09 total return; MIA +7 (-110), $9.09 profit; $19.09 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Detroit Lions moneyline (-355). Its quoted odds imply a 78.0% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 13:00 EST. Records: CLE 5-3; NO 2-5.

Expected outright winner: Cleveland Browns. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: NO 49.0%; CLE 51.0%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: CLE -102; NO -118. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: CLE +1.5 (-110), $9.09 profit; $19.09 total return; NO -1.5 (-110), $9.09 profit; $19.09 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: New Orleans Saints moneyline (-118). Its quoted odds imply a 54.1% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 13:00 EST. Records: NYG 4-2-1; PHI 2-6.

Expected outright winner: New York Giants. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: PHI 36.3%; NYG 63.7%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: NYG -170; PHI +142. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: NYG -3.5 (-105), $9.52 profit; $19.52 total return; PHI +3.5 (-115), $8.70 profit; $18.70 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: New York Giants spread -3.5 (-105). If it covers: $9.52 profit; $19.52 total return. Its quoted odds imply a 51.2% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 13:00 EST. Records: LAR 4-4; WSH 2-4-1.

Expected outright winner: Los Angeles Rams. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: WSH 31.2%; LAR 68.8%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: LAR -238; WSH +195. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: LAR -5.5 (-118), $8.47 profit; $18.47 total return; WSH +5.5 (-102), $9.80 profit; $19.80 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Los Angeles Rams moneyline (-238). Its quoted odds imply a 70.4% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 16:05 EST. Records: HOU 2-5; LAC 0-7.

Expected outright winner: Houston Texans. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: LAC 32.0%; HOU 68.0%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: HOU -218; LAC +180. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: HOU -4.5 (-115), $8.70 profit; $18.70 total return; LAC +4.5 (-105), $9.52 profit; $19.52 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Houston Texans moneyline (-218). Its quoted odds imply a 68.6% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 16:25 EST. Records: GB 5-3; NE 5-3.

Expected outright winner: New England Patriots. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: NE 60.4%; GB 39.6%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: GB +142; NE -170. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: GB +3 (-105), $9.52 profit; $19.52 total return; NE -3 (-115), $8.70 profit; $18.70 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: New England Patriots moneyline (-170). Its quoted odds imply a 63.0% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Las Vegas Raiders at San Francisco 49ers

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 16:25 EST. Records: LV 4-4; SF 6-1.

Expected outright winner: San Francisco 49ers. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: SF 83.7%; LV 16.3%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: LV +400; SF -535. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: LV +10 (-112), $8.93 profit; $18.93 total return; SF -10 (-108), $9.26 profit; $19.26 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: San Francisco 49ers moneyline (-535). Its quoted odds imply a 84.3% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 16:25 EST. Records: ARI 3-5; SEA 4-4.

Expected outright winner: Seattle Seahawks. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: SEA 85.0%; ARI 15.0%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: ARI +500; SEA -700. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: ARI +12.5 (-115), $8.70 profit; $18.70 total return; SEA -12.5 (-105), $9.52 profit; $19.52 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Seattle Seahawks moneyline (-700). Its quoted odds imply a 87.5% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears

Kickoff: 11-08-2026 20:20 EST. Records: TB 3-5; CHI 6-2.

Expected outright winner: Chicago Bears. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: CHI 74.4%; TB 25.6%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: TB +235; CHI -290. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: TB +6 (-108), $9.26 profit; $19.26 total return; CHI -6 (-112), $8.93 profit; $18.93 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Chicago Bears moneyline (-290). Its quoted odds imply a 74.4% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings

Kickoff: 11-09-2026 20:15 EST. Records: BUF 6-1; MIN 6-1.

Expected outright winner: Buffalo Bills. Experimental win-likelihood estimate: MIN 39.1%; BUF 60.9%. This estimate is not calibrated.

Moneyline options: BUF -175; MIN +145. Spread options with hypothetical $10 win payouts: BUF -3.5 (-102), $9.80 profit; $19.80 total return; MIN +3.5 (-118), $8.47 profit; $18.47 total return. A spread push returns the $10 stake with $0 profit; a loss is -$10.

One frozen hypothetical $10 selection: Buffalo Bills moneyline (-175). Its quoted odds imply a 63.6% break-even win rate before considering bookmaker margin. That is a price threshold, not proof of betting value.

Grading and record

Each selected pick is settled using its original quoted odds and the final score. A win earns $10 times 100 divided by negative odds' absolute value, or $10 times positive odds divided by 100. A loss is -$10. A push returns the stake with $0 net. The live record shows wins, losses, pushes, pending games, realized net profit or loss, and ROI against settled non-push stakes. Original picks are never rewritten.

Outcome notes

13 accurate, 1 missed, 0 push, 0 pending.

JATANIUM forecasts are research and entertainment, not guarantees or betting advice. Displayed odds and spreads are approximate and may be inaccurate or stale. Lottery drawings are random. Read the full disclaimer.